Hurricane Leslie

Forecast Advisory 24

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623
WTNT23 KNHC 050837
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
0900 UTC WED SEP 05 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 43.9W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 43.9W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 43.9W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.6N 43.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.4N 43.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 30.0N 42.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 30.7N 42.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.8N 43.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 33.0N 45.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 34.0N 46.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.1N 43.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





457
WTNT22 KNHC 050842
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
0900 UTC WED SEP 05 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 62.9W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT.......140NE 200SE 60SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 210SE 120SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 62.9W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 62.9W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 25.8N 63.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 70SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.2N 63.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 200SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 26.6N 63.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 26.9N 63.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 110SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 28.2N 64.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...220NE 220SE 140SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 31.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 37.5N 64.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N 62.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN