Hurricane Leslie

Forecast Advisory 26



649
WTNT23 KNHC 052033
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
2100 UTC WED SEP 05 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 42.7W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 60SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 42.7W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 42.9W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.3N 42.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 30.0N 41.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 30.6N 41.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 31.0N 41.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 32.1N 42.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 33.2N 44.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 34.8N 46.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 42.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




640
WTNT22 KNHC 052045
TCMAT2

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
2100 UTC WED SEP 05 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESLIE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 62.7W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 60SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 210SE 120SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 62.7W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 62.7W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.1N 62.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 70SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 26.5N 63.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 200SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 26.8N 63.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 27.2N 63.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 110SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 29.3N 64.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...220NE 220SE 140SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 34.0N 64.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 42.0N 61.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.9N 62.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART