Hurricane Leslie
Forecast Advisory 35
562
WTNT22 KNHC 080243
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
0300 UTC SAT SEP 08 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE NECESSARY FOR BERMUDA ON SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 62.3W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 270SE 270SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 62.3W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 62.3W
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 28.2N 62.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 80SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 29.5N 62.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 80SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 31.0N 61.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 32.7N 61.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 130SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 37.0N 59.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 140NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 43.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 48.0N 52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 62.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
563
WTNT23 KNHC 080243
TCMAT3
HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
0300 UTC SAT SEP 08 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 41.8W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 41.8W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 41.6W
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.2N 42.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 32.9N 42.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.5N 43.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 33.9N 43.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 36.0N 46.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 44.0N 47.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 41.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
