Hurricane Leslie

Forecast Advisory 36

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647
WTNT23 KNHC 080830
TCMAT3

HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
0900 UTC SAT SEP 08 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 41.8W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 41.8W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 41.8W

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 32.6N 42.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.1N 42.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 33.5N 43.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 33.9N 44.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 36.7N 47.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 45.0N 47.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.2N 41.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





166
WTNT22 KNHC 080832
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
0900 UTC SAT SEP 08 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 62.3W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 330SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 62.3W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 62.3W

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 28.9N 62.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 0SE 20SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 30.3N 62.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 20SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 31.9N 61.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 33.6N 61.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 38.5N 58.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...210NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 44.5N 55.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 48.0N 53.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.1N 62.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN