Hurricane Leslie
Forecast Advisory 37
795
WTNT23 KNHC 081451
TCMAT3
HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
1500 UTC SAT SEP 08 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 42.1W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 42.1W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 42.0W
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 33.0N 42.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.4N 42.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 33.6N 43.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 33.8N 45.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 38.2N 48.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 48.0N 47.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...ABSORBED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N 42.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
081
WTNT22 KNHC 081451
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
1500 UTC SAT SEP 08 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 62.5W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 330SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 62.5W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 62.5W
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 29.5N 62.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 0SE 20SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 31.2N 62.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 20SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 32.8N 61.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 34.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 130SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 40.5N 58.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...210NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 45.0N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 47.0N 51.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.6N 62.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
