Hurricane Leslie
Forecast Advisory 39
589
WTNT22 KNHC 090234
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
0300 UTC SUN SEP 09 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 62.6W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 240SE 330SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 62.6W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 62.6W
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 31.3N 62.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 20SE 20SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 33.2N 61.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 35.3N 60.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 38.5N 59.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 130SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 46.0N 54.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...210NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 49.0N 48.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 51.5N 40.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N 62.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
199
WTNT23 KNHC 090236
TCMAT3
HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
0300 UTC SUN SEP 09 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 42.4W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..170NE 150SE 120SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 42.4W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 42.3W
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.8N 42.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 33.9N 43.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 34.1N 45.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 35.2N 46.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 42.0N 47.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.4N 42.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
