Hurricane Leslie

Forecast Advisory 43

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463
WTNT23 KNHC 100235
TCMAT3

HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
0300 UTC MON SEP 10 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 44.4W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 44.4W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 44.1W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 33.8N 45.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 34.8N 47.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 37.3N 48.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 40.9N 46.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 48.0N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 44.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS





840
WTNT22 KNHC 100257
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
0300 UTC MON SEP 10 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESLIE.
A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 61.8W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT.......170NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 320SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 61.8W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 62.0W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 36.8N 60.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 41.3N 58.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 47.5N 53.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 54.1N 46.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 200SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 62.5N 25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 0NW.
34 KT...250NE 300SE 300SW 270NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 62.5N 3.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 61.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART