Hurricane Leslie
Forecast Advisory 46
848
WTNT22 KNHC 102034
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
2100 UTC MON SEP 10 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO TRITON
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 59.1W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 30 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......200NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 360SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 59.1W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 59.8W
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 44.4N 56.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 51.5N 51.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 480SE 480SW 210NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 58.0N 42.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 480SE 480SW 210NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 62.5N 34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...180NE 240SE 210SW 180NW.
34 KT...360NE 420SE 480SW 240NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 62.5N 17.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 240SE 300SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 420SE 480SW 240NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z...ABSORBED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.0N 59.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
609
WTNT23 KNHC 102038
TCMAT3
HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
2100 UTC MON SEP 10 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 47.6W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 47.6W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 47.1W
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 36.2N 48.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 39.8N 47.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 44.2N 44.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 49.6N 38.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 150SE 90SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z...ABOSORBED BY A FRONT
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 47.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
