Hurricane Michael

Forecast Advisory 6

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077
WTNT23 KNHC 050236
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
0300 UTC WED SEP 05 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 43.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 43.7W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 43.7W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 28.1N 43.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 28.9N 43.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 29.6N 42.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 30.0N 42.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 31.2N 43.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 32.0N 44.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 33.0N 45.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 43.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





629
WTNT22 KNHC 050240
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
0300 UTC WED SEP 05 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 62.8W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......140NE 200SE 60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 210SE 120SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 62.8W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 62.7W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 25.6N 62.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 26.1N 63.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...160NE 200SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 26.5N 63.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 26.7N 63.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 110SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 27.5N 63.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...220NE 230SE 140SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 30.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 35.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N 62.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN