Hurricane Michael
Forecast Advisory 19
554
WTNT23 KNHC 072029
TCMAT3
HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
2100 UTC FRI SEP 07 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 41.3W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 41.3W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 41.2W
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.8N 41.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 32.3N 42.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.1N 42.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 33.6N 43.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 35.4N 45.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 42.0N 47.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 52.5N 43.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N 41.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
508
WTNT22 KNHC 072030
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
2100 UTC FRI SEP 07 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 62.2W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 80SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 270SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 62.2W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 62.2W
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 28.0N 62.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 80SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 28.8N 62.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 80SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 30.2N 62.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 31.8N 61.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 130SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 35.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 140NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 41.0N 56.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 47.0N 52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 62.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
