Hurricane Michael
Forecast Advisory 23
266
WTNT22 KNHC 082031
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
2100 UTC SAT SEP 08 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 62.5W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 330SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 62.5W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 62.5W
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 30.4N 62.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 20SE 20SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 32.2N 62.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 20SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 34.0N 61.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 36.0N 60.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 130SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 44.0N 56.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...210NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 46.0N 52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 48.0N 46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N 62.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
684
WTNT23 KNHC 082041
TCMAT3
HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
2100 UTC SAT SEP 08 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 42.3W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 42.3W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 42.2W
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.6N 42.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 33.9N 43.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 34.0N 44.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 34.5N 45.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 41.0N 48.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 50.0N 44.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.1N 42.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE