Hurricane Michael

Forecast Advisory 25

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867
WTNT23 KNHC 090846
TCMAT3

HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
0900 UTC SUN SEP 09 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 42.7W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..170NE 150SE 120SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 42.7W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 42.6W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 33.9N 43.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 34.0N 44.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 34.6N 46.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 36.5N 47.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 45.5N 45.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N 42.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





268
WTNT22 KNHC 090847
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
0900 UTC SUN SEP 09 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 62.5W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
34 KT.......170NE 150SE 130SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 270SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 62.5W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 62.6W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 32.4N 62.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 34.5N 61.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 37.5N 60.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 42.0N 58.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...220NE 220SE 160SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 52.0N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 59.5N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 61.0N 15.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 62.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN