Hurricane Michael
Forecast Advisory 29
714
WTNT23 KNHC 100841
TCMAT3
HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
0900 UTC MON SEP 10 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 45.2W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 45.2W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 44.8W
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 34.0N 46.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 36.0N 47.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 39.1N 47.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 43.5N 45.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.5N 45.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
315
WTNT22 KNHC 100847
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
0900 UTC MON SEP 10 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO STONES COVE
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM FOGO ISLAND TO CHARLOTTETOWN
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 61.2W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 140SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 300SE 240SW 280NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 61.2W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 61.6W
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 38.8N 59.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 44.5N 56.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 60NW.
34 KT...220NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 51.9N 50.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 270SE 250SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 58.5N 42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 180SE 180SW 60NW.
34 KT...210NE 360SE 300SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 63.0N 20.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 240SE 240SW 60NW.
34 KT... 60NE 360SE 300SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z...ABSORBED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.7N 61.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
