Hurricane Nadine

Forecast Advisory 5

---

305
WTNT24 KNHC 121443
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
1500 UTC WED SEP 12 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 47.6W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 20SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 47.6W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 47.0W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 20.3N 49.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 20SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 22.1N 51.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 24.1N 52.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 26.3N 53.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 30.0N 52.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 32.5N 49.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 34.5N 43.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 47.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROTH/PASCH