Hurricane Nadine

Forecast Advisory 11



739
WTNT24 KNHC 140237
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
0300 UTC FRI SEP 14 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 53.7W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT.......200NE 180SE 60SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 240SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 53.7W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 53.4W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 26.8N 54.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 60SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 29.1N 54.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 80SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 30.7N 52.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 90SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 31.4N 50.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.3N 44.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 33.5N 38.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 35.5N 32.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 53.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN