Hurricane Nadine

Forecast Advisory 16

---

274
WTNT24 KNHC 150851
TCMAT4

HURRICANE NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
0900 UTC SAT SEP 15 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 51.4W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT.......200NE 180SE 60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 51.4W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 52.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 31.1N 49.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 31.1N 46.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.0N 43.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 31.4N 40.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 33.0N 35.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 35.5N 31.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 37.5N 29.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.7N 51.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN