Hurricane Nadine

Forecast Advisory 33



478
WTNT24 KNHC 191445
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
1500 UTC WED SEP 19 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE PORTUGUESE WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE ISLANDS OF SAO MIGUEL AND SANTA MARIA IN THE AZORES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AZORES ISLANDS OF FLORES...CORVO...FAIAL...PICO...SAO JORGE...
GRACIOSA...TERCEIRA...SAO MIGUEL...AND SANTA MARIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 31.8W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......240NE 150SE 150SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 31.8W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.0N 31.8W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 37.4N 31.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 150SE 150SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 36.6N 30.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 150SE 150SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 35.5N 28.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 34.5N 26.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 34.5N 23.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 240SW 270NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 34.5N 22.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 34.5N 21.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.2N 31.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH