Hurricane Nadine

Forecast Advisory 51



423
WTNT24 KNHC 250843
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 51
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
0900 UTC TUE SEP 25 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 29.6W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 70SE 100SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 360SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 29.6W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 29.4W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.8N 30.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 70SE 100SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 31.1N 30.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 70SE 100SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 30.0N 30.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 29.0N 31.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 100SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 29.0N 33.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 100SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 30.0N 34.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 32.0N 35.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.1N 29.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART