Hurricane Nadine

Forecast Advisory 71



168
WTNT24 KNHC 300837
TCMAT4

HURRICANE NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 71
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
0900 UTC SUN SEP 30 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 37.8W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 37.8W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 37.6W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 37.2N 38.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 36.9N 39.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 36.1N 39.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 35.4N 38.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 35.4N 36.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 38.5N 32.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 46.0N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.6N 37.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI