Hurricane Sandy

Forecast Advisory 13

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839
WTNT24 KNHC 251433
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM TONY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192012
1500 UTC THU OCT 25 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 36.3W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 40SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 36.3W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 37.3W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 31.6N 33.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 32.5N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 33.2N 27.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N 36.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN





371
WTNT23 KNHC 251444
TCMAT3

HURRICANE SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
1500 UTC THU OCT 25 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO.

THE TROPICAL WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE RAGGED ISLANDS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM OCEAN REEF TO FLAGLER BEACH
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH
* FLORIDA UPPER KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY
* FLORIDA BAY

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDY.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 75.5W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 964 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 70SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 75.5W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 75.5W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 24.4N 75.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.2N 76.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 27.4N 76.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 90SW 100NW.
34 KT...210NE 140SE 150SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 28.9N 76.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...250NE 180SE 220SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 32.0N 73.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 160SW 160NW.
34 KT...340NE 300SE 240SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 36.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 39.5N 73.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 75.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN