Hurricane Sandy

Forecast Advisory 14

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035
WTNT24 KNHC 252031
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TONY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192012
2100 UTC THU OCT 25 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 34.0W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 70SE 20SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 34.0W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 35.1W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 31.8N 31.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 32.5N 28.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 33.2N 25.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N 34.0W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON TONY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
TONY...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE METEO FRANCE
MET OFFICE...UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN





217
WTNT23 KNHC 252034
TCMAT3

HURRICANE SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
2100 UTC THU OCT 25 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE RAGGED ISLANDS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM OCEAN REEF TO FLAGLER BEACH
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH
* FLORIDA UPPER KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY
* FLORIDA BAY

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDY.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 75.6W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 70SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE 60SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 75.6W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 75.3W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 26.0N 76.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 27.4N 77.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 140SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 28.3N 77.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...230NE 180SE 170SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 29.8N 76.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...300NE 270SE 230SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 33.0N 73.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT...360NE 330SE 280SW 330NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 37.5N 72.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 40.5N 75.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 75.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN