Hurricane Sandy
Forecast Advisory 16
294
WTNT23 KNHC 260842
TCMAT3
HURRICANE SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
0900 UTC FRI OCT 26 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SAVANNAH RIVER NORTHWARD
TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS EXCEPT ANDROS ISLAND
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM OCEAN REEF TO FLAGLER BEACH
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* ANDROS ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAVANNAH RIVER TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO SOUND
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH
* FLORIDA UPPER KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY
* FLORIDA BAY
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDY.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 76.9W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......240NE 180SE 80SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 360SE 180SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 76.9W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 76.5W
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 27.2N 77.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 120SW 210NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 28.3N 77.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 170SW 220NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 29.7N 76.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 35SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 130SW 140NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 240SW 250NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 31.4N 74.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 150SW 170NW.
34 KT...360NE 270SE 270SW 270NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 35.5N 72.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT...380NE 330SE 300SW 300NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 38.5N 74.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 40.5N 77.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N 76.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
