Hurricane Sandy
Forecast Advisory 17
155
WTNT23 KNHC 261457
TCMAT3
HURRICANE SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
1500 UTC FRI OCT 26 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...AND REPLACED THE HURRICANE
WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS
EXCEPT FOR GREAT ABACO AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLANDS.
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS SOUTH OF OCEAN REEF TO
CRAIG KEY AND FOR FLORIDA BAY HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GREAT ABACO AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM OCEAN REEF TO FLAGLER BEACH
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS EXCEPT FOR GREAT ABACO AND GRAND BAHAMA
ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAVANNAH RIVER TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO SOUND
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDY.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 76.9W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT.......100NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......240NE 180SE 90SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 520SE 270SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 76.9W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 76.9W
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 27.6N 77.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 120SW 220NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 28.9N 76.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 220SE 170SW 220NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 30.5N 75.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 35SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 130SW 150NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 240SW 250NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 32.2N 73.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 150SW 170NW.
34 KT...360NE 270SE 270SW 270NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 36.0N 72.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT...380NE 330SE 300SW 300NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 39.0N 75.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 40.5N 78.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.7N 76.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
