Tropical Storm Tony
Forecast Advisory 2
525
WTNT24 KNHC 230251
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192012
0300 UTC TUE OCT 23 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 51.8W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 51.8W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 51.8W
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 24.3N 51.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.0N 50.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 27.3N 48.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 28.3N 45.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 80SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 31.2N 38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 35.0N 31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 51.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
526
WTNT23 KNHC 230251
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
0300 UTC TUE OCT 23 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
* HAITI
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WATCH AND/OR A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED
FOR JAMAICA BY TUESDAY MORNING.
INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF SANDY.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 78.6W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 45SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 78.6W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 78.6W
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.6N 78.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.8N 77.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.6N 77.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.5N 77.1W...INLAND OVER JAMAICA
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 22.7N 75.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 70SW 200NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 25.7N 75.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 28.2N 73.6W...SUBTROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 78.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
