Tropical Storm Andrea

Forecast Advisory 3



042
WTNT21 KNHC 060849
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM ANDREA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013
0900 UTC THU JUN 06 2013

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FROM OCHLOCKNEE RIVER TO INDIAN
PASS FLORIDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA
NORTHWARD ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT
VIRGINIA...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS AND THE LOWER
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BOCA GRANDE TO INDIAN PASS
* FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 85.9W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 85.9W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 86.2W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 29.0N 84.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 32.0N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 36.0N 78.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 39.0N 73.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 46.5N 59.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 46.5N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 52.5N 23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 85.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA