Tropical Storm Andrea

Forecast Advisory 4



632
WTNT21 KNHC 061453
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM ANDREA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013
1500 UTC THU JUN 06 2013

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BOCA GRANDE TO INDIAN PASS
* FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 84.3W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 84.3W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 84.9W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 30.3N 82.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 33.4N 80.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 37.3N 76.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 41.8N 70.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 46.5N 54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 47.0N 33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 52.0N 20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N 84.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG/BEVEN