Tropical Storm Barry

Forecast Advisory 4

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783
WTNT22 KNHC 180831
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022013
0900 UTC TUE JUN 18 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 89.4W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 89.4W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 89.0W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.5N 90.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.1N 92.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.5N 93.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.6N 94.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.7N 96.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 89.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN