Tropical Storm Barry

Forecast Advisory 5

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217
WTNT22 KNHC 181434
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022013
1500 UTC TUE JUN 18 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN EASTERN MEXICO AND THE BAY OF CAMPECHE SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 90.0W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 90.0W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 89.6W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.1N 91.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.7N 93.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.0N 94.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.1N 95.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.2N 96.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 90.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

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FORECASTER AVILA