Tropical Storm Chantal

Forecast Advisory 1



643
WTNT23 KNHC 080255
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013
0300 UTC MON JUL 08 2013

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
BARBADOS AND DOMINICA AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SAINT VINCENT.

THE GOVERNMENT OF SAINT LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR SAINT LUCIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* DOMINICA
* SAINT LUCIA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAINT VINCENT

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
TO 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE IN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES ON MONDAY MORNING.

INTERESTS IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
CHANTAL.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 47.2W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 47.2W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 46.1W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 10.8N 50.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 12.1N 55.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 13.9N 60.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 15.6N 65.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.4N 73.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 22.0N 77.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 25.0N 78.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.8N 47.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BROWN