Tropical Storm Chantal

Forecast Advisory 5

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490
WTNT23 KNHC 090254
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013
0300 UTC TUE JUL 09 2013

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE
BORDER WITH HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
NORTHERN COAST OF HAITI FROM NORTH OF CABO ENGANO TO CABO FRANCES
VIEJO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HAITI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE
* GUADELOUPE
* PUERTO RICO
* SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE
BORDER WITH HAITI

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. VINCENT
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM NORTH OF CABO ENGANO
TO CABO FRANCES VIEJO

INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF CHANTAL.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 56.1W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 45SE 0SW 15NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 56.1W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 55.0W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 13.7N 59.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 15.3N 63.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.1N 67.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.0N 71.2W...OVER HISPANIOLA
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 22.5N 75.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 25.5N 76.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 27.5N 77.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 56.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN