Tropical Storm Chantal

Forecast Advisory 10



871
WTNT23 KNHC 100836
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013
0900 UTC WED JUL 10 2013

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PUERTO RICO...AND THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA ARE
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI
* TURKS AND CAICOS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 69.5W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 70 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 69.5W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 68.5W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.8N 72.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.5N 75.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 21.5N 78.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 23.8N 79.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 27.5N 80.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 31.0N 81.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 32.5N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 69.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BLAKE