Tropical Storm Erin

Forecast Advisory 9

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189
WTNT25 KNHC 170230
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052013
0300 UTC SAT AUG 17 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 34.5W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 15SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 34.5W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 34.0W

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.5N 36.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.2N 38.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.7N 39.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 21.0N 42.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 22.0N 47.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 24.5N 51.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 34.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE