Tropical Storm Gabrielle

Forecast Advisory 8



837
WTNT24 KNHC 101434
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013
1500 UTC TUE SEP 10 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 27.7W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 70SE 40SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 27.7W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 27.4W

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.3N 28.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.6N 29.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 18.5N 29.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 20.5N 29.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 23.5N 31.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 24.5N 34.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 25.0N 39.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 27.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




877
WTNT22 KNHC 101437
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013
1500 UTC TUE SEP 10 2013

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ON BERMUDA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 65.0W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 105SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 65.0W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 64.9W

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 31.9N 64.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 33.1N 65.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 34.0N 65.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 35.2N 66.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 39.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 49.0N 56.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N 65.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN