Tropical Storm Gabrielle

Forecast Advisory 10



549
WTNT24 KNHC 102031
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013
2100 UTC TUE SEP 10 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 28.1W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 28.1W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 27.9W

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.9N 28.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 17.6N 29.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 19.6N 29.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 21.5N 29.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 24.0N 31.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 24.5N 36.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 24.5N 41.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 28.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




527
WTNT22 KNHC 102055
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013
2100 UTC TUE SEP 10 2013

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ON BERMUDA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 64.9W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 100SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 105SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 64.9W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 64.7W

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 32.6N 65.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 33.5N 65.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 34.3N 66.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 35.7N 66.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 42.0N 63.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE 90SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 52.0N 52.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 64.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN