Tropical Storm Gabrielle

Forecast Advisory 15



261
WTNT22 KNHC 120246
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013
0300 UTC THU SEP 12 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 67.0W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 67.0W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 66.8W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 33.7N 67.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 35.7N 67.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 39.4N 66.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 44.4N 62.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 54.5N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 120SE 60SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.0N 67.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




742
WTNT24 KNHC 120247
TCMAT4

HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013
0300 UTC THU SEP 12 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 29.0W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 29.0W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 28.9W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 20.7N 29.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 22.3N 29.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 23.5N 31.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 24.2N 32.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 25.2N 37.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 26.0N 42.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 27.5N 45.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 29.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA