Hurricane Ingrid

Forecast Advisory 9



176
WTNT24 KNHC 141437
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013
1500 UTC SAT SEP 14 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 35.4W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 35.4W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 34.8W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 25.8N 37.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 26.7N 39.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 27.5N 41.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...140NE 70SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 28.6N 42.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...160NE 70SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.9N 44.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 0SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 33.7N 44.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 37.5N 41.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N 35.4W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON HUMBERTO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




233
WTNT25 KNHC 141445
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM INGRID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102013
1500 UTC SAT SEP 14 2013

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* COATZACOALCOS TO CABO ROJO

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE NECESSARY
FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 94.5W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 94.5W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 94.6W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.4N 94.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 22.0N 94.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 22.5N 96.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.5N 97.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 22.0N 99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 21.5N 99.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 94.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA