Hurricane Ingrid

Forecast Advisory 17

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797
WTNT25 KNHC 161444
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM INGRID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102013
1500 UTC MON SEP 16 2013

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
SOUTH OF LA CRUZ MEXICO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA CRUZ NORTHWARD TO RIO SAN FERNANDO

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 98.2W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 98.2W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 97.8W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.4N 99.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 22.8N 100.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 98.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





275
WTNT24 KNHC 161447
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013
1500 UTC MON SEP 16 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 43.2W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 43.2W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 42.9W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 28.2N 43.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...160NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.5N 44.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 40SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.2N 44.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 60SE 30SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 31.1N 45.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 80SE 40SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.1N 44.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...200NE 90SE 50SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 36.7N 40.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 44.7N 32.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N 43.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN