Tropical Storm Jerry

Forecast Advisory 9

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387
WTNT21 KNHC 010242
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112013
0300 UTC TUE OCT 01 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 43.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 43.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 44.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 27.2N 44.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.1N 44.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 27.3N 45.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 27.9N 46.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 29.0N 47.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 30.5N 45.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 33.0N 41.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 43.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

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FORECASTER CANGIALOSI