Tropical Storm Jerry

Forecast Advisory 10

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308
WTNT21 KNHC 010835
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112013
0900 UTC TUE OCT 01 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 43.7W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 43.7W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 43.6W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 27.2N 43.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 27.5N 44.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 28.2N 44.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 29.0N 44.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 30.7N 41.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 32.0N 37.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 33.5N 33.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N 43.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART