Tropical Storm Jerry

Forecast Advisory 17

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345
WTNT21 KNHC 030239
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112013
0300 UTC THU OCT 03 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 42.0W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 42.0W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 42.4W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 30.6N 40.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 31.9N 38.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 32.8N 35.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 33.4N 33.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 36.0N 29.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 38.5N 25.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N 42.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

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FORECASTER LANDSEA