Tropical Storm Melissa

Forecast Advisory 9



611
WTNT24 KNHC 201433
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013
1500 UTC WED NOV 20 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 47.7W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 26 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 180SE 160SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 480SE 420SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 47.7W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 49.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 37.6N 43.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 160SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 40.0N 37.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 41.5N 31.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 42.5N 24.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 42.0N 18.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...300NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.6N 47.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA