Tropical Storm Melissa

Forecast Advisory 10

---

929
WTNT24 KNHC 202035
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013
2100 UTC WED NOV 20 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 44.9W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 26 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 420SE 480SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 44.9W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 46.3W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 39.0N 40.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 41.0N 34.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 42.0N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 240SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 43.5N 23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...300NE 210SE 210SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 42.0N 17.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.2N 44.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA