Tropical Storm Melissa

Forecast Advisory 11

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105
WTNT24 KNHC 210230
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013
0300 UTC THU NOV 21 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.1N 42.1W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 26 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 210SE 150SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 420SE 480SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.1N 42.1W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.5N 43.5W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 39.6N 37.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 200SE 150SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 41.2N 31.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 42.4N 25.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 42.8N 21.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...210NE 150SE 60SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 41.0N 16.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.1N 42.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE