Hurricane Arthur
Forecast Advisory 9
344
WTNT21 KNHC 030246
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014
0300 UTC THU JUL 03 2014
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SURF CITY NORTHWARD TO DUCK
* PAMLICO SOUND
* EASTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET TO SOUTH OF SURF CITY
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH OF SURF CITY
* NORTH OF DUCK TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...NOT INCLUDING
CHEASEPEAKE BAY
* WESTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. ANY
DEVIATION OF THE FORECAST TRACK TO THE LEFT...OR AN INCREASE IN THE
FORECAST SIZE OF ARTHUR WOULD LIKELY REQUIRE THE ISSUANCE OF
HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR ALL OR PART OF THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST NORTH OF THE WARNING
AREA...PRIMARILY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND...SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 79.1W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 80SE 40SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 79.1W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 79.2W
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 31.7N 78.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 33.5N 77.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 36.0N 74.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 39.0N 70.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 45.5N 63.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...150NE 190SE 200SW 200NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 51.0N 55.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 55.5N 50.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N 79.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
