Hurricane Bertha

Forecast Advisory 14



701
WTNT23 KNHC 040852
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
0900 UTC MON AUG 04 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 73.6W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......140NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 73.6W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 73.5W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 28.6N 73.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 31.9N 72.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 35.0N 70.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 37.7N 67.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 43.4N 57.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 100SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 47.5N 47.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 49.5N 37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 73.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART