Hurricane Bertha

Forecast Advisory 15

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667
WTNT23 KNHC 041438
TCMAT3

HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
1500 UTC MON AUG 04 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 73.6W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......140NE 100SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 70SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 73.6W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 73.6W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.0N 73.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 33.4N 72.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 36.3N 69.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 45.0N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 100SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 49.0N 45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 49.0N 33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 73.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

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FORECASTER PASCH