Hurricane Bertha

Forecast Advisory 20



063
WTNT23 KNHC 052042
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
2100 UTC TUE AUG 05 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 70.3W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 120SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 70.3W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 71.2W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 38.2N 67.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 41.0N 61.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 60SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 43.7N 55.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 46.0N 49.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 120SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 48.0N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 180SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 49.0N 20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 51.0N 1.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.2N 70.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH