Hurricane Bertha

Forecast Advisory 21

---

052
WTNT23 KNHC 060240
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
0300 UTC WED AUG 06 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N 68.1W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 120SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N 68.1W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 69.3W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.5N 64.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 42.2N 58.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 120SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 45.0N 52.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 47.3N 47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 180SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 48.5N 33.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 48.5N 17.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.5N 68.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN