Hurricane Cristobal

Forecast Advisory 3

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068
WTNT24 KNHC 240848
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014
0900 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR
THIS AREA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 73.3W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 73.3W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 73.0W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 23.7N 73.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 24.4N 73.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 25.0N 74.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 25.9N 74.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 28.5N 75.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 31.5N 75.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 34.0N 70.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 73.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN