Hurricane Cristobal

Forecast Advisory 6



372
WTNT24 KNHC 250231
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014
0300 UTC MON AUG 25 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 73.1W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 73.1W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 73.1W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 25.4N 73.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.4N 72.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 27.8N 72.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.8N 71.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 33.5N 69.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 37.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 44.0N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N 73.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




372
WTNT24 KNHC 250231
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014
0300 UTC MON AUG 25 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 73.1W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 73.1W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 73.1W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 25.4N 73.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.4N 72.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 27.8N 72.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.8N 71.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 33.5N 69.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 37.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 44.0N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N 73.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH